The Office for National Statistics (ONS) earlier this year released a population projection for the UK which estimates that the number of people living here will rise to 74 million by 2060!. This projection appears to be out of kilter with what is going on in reality.
Although a rise from 67 million in 2020 to 74 million by 2060 is a sharp increase, it has to be compared with a UK population rise of 8 million over just twenty years since 2000 (which was almost entirely due to the arrival of high numbers of immigrants and subsequent children born here in the UK).
Growth even of this magnitude means a population increase of about 172,000 per year – this bears no resemblance to what has been going on in recent years, (a significant fall from the 300,000 to 500,000 net migration annual rises that we have experienced in recent years).
So, the ONS seems to be suggesting that the rate of population growth will fall considerably compared with the past two decades!
However, this does not seem to account for the recent loosening of the immigration system – including that of work and study visa controls – nor for record numbers of refugees migrating directly here from Ukraine, Hong Kong and Afghanistan.
More than 1.2 million residence visas were granted to those from overseas in the past year (another record).
Unfortunately the ONS does not quite explain why they think immigration levels are likely to fall so dramatically going forward. Their past record on projecting immigration levels does not give any comfort – and they have a long history of having under-estimated likely arrival figures.
In a nutshell, the Lib-Lab-Con establishment crooks have deceived and lied to the British people for decades on government immigration policy.
I doubt if they are expecting immigration levels to fall. What they will be expecting is that high levels of immigration will be offset by a higher level of deaths. The “baby boomer” generation – overwhelmingly white British – will by 2060 have very largely passed away; its youngest members will be in their nineties, and they have not had enough children to replace themselves. A white British birth rate which, for several decades, has run at around two thirds of the replacement level means that the 52 million white British in the UK at present will have fallen by 2060 to around 35 million.
That 35 million – less than half of the 74 million forecast to be living here by 2060 – is without taking into account the cancellation of white blood lines by race mixing (Prof. Eric Kauffman calculates that by the end of the century half of the population will be mixed race, and by 2130 it will be 80%). But it is also without taking into account that the “White Other” category (Poles, Roumanians etc) will, unless refreshed by constant European immigration, also have disappeared by absorption into the general population.